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Our tipster Jones Is aware of assaults the primary Premier League fixtures of 2023…

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Tottenham vs Aston Villa, New Yr’s Day 2pm, reside on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa

Tottenham are all the time one defeat away from a full-blown disaster – one may be coming right here.

I am an enormous believer in Antonio Conte’s strategies however his contract scenario, amid reviews of ongoing negotiations, added to his group’s woeful depth early on in video games goes to chew them in some unspecified time in the future.

And when assessing the match costs right here, the market is simply too skewed in favour of Spurs, who’re so skinny at 8/13 with Sky Guess to beat an enhancing Aston Villa.

Conte’s males have conceded first in every of their final 9 video games in all competitions and have gone 2-0 down in six of these. That may be a dependable set of information pointing to critical flaws in the best way Tottenham method matches.

Finally, a savvy and shrewd facet with good defensive nous goes to make Spurs pay. Villa could possibly be that group underneath Unai Emery and have proven actually constructive indicators with their efficiency ranges towards Manchester United, Brighton and Liverpool. Emery’s group deserved each their wins towards United and Brighton when assessing the efficiency knowledge and created a wholesome anticipated objectives determine of 1.44 towards Liverpool in a recreation the place conceding first to Jurgen Klopp’s facet isn’t ideally suited from a recreation state perspective.

Goalscorers Danny Ings and Leon Bailey celebrate in front of the Aston Villa fans
Picture:
Aston Villa have impressed underneath the watch of Unai Emery

There are many methods to get Aston Villa on facet along with your cash. Retaining it easy and backing them to keep away from defeat at 5/4 with Sky Guess stands out as the key play however Villa to attain first at 15/8 and Villa to be profitable at half-time at 4/1 are also value contemplating.

SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Aston Villa to win or draw (5/4 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea, New Yr’s Day 4.30pm, reside on Sky Sports activities – PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £250,000!

Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea

The match costs look about proper to me with Chelsea prone to get the job finished at odds-on with that further high quality within the ultimate third, particularly with Morgan Gibbs-White lacking for the hosts, however Forest will probably be digging in and creating issues for the Londoners at numerous factors.

One space that will show fertile for them is set-pieces.

I believed Chelsea appeared shaky when defending their field underneath strain from corners and free-kicks towards Bournemouth, with the Cherries making a wholesome 0.29 value of anticipated objectives through set-pieces with Lloyd Kelly and Dominic Solanke each lacking the goal from shut vary. Since Graham Potter took cost, Chelsea’s general defensive metrics from set-pieces are nosediving. They’ve shipped 33 pictures from such eventualities to an anticipated objectives backdrop of three.18 – solely six groups have a worse output from the day Potter took over.

With that in thoughts, it is actually value trying on the Forest centre-backs to threaten.

Since Joe Worrall and Willy Boly have been paired collectively 4 video games in the past, they’ve had eight pictures between them and that is not together with Boly’s disallowed purpose towards Manchester United.

Worrall is 13/8 with Sky Guess and Boly is 2/1 to have at the very least one shot within the participant pictures market. Each these costs look large – and I will be backing the 4/5 on supply for both to have at the very least one shot vs Chelsea as a part of my 3/1 New Year’s Day double.

SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1 | JONES KNOWS BEST BET: Either Joe Worrall or Willy Boly to have a shot on goal (4/5 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)

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